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交易本能

交易心理学告诉我们,多种心理因素会影响人们做出金融决策。

The concept further purports that these factors can result in behaviours like biased thinking, irrational choices, or subpar knee jerk actions. Trading psychology also highlights the significance of self-awareness, effective risk management, emotional regulation, and a balanced mindset to navigate the stress that trading evokes and make rational decisions.

 

Trading instincts are a key component of an individual’s trading psychology. They refer to those gut feelings or intuition that a trader often develops over time or through trading experience. They’re usually acquired through ongoing learning and practice, and require staying informed about market news and events, and economic indicators.

 

有相信自己交易本能的能力,意味着具有自我认知。您必须能够区分决策是基于理性的、信息充分的数据,还是由情绪和感觉推动而产生。客观性和主观性之间的界限很容易被扭曲,找到区分二者的方法对于成功的决策至关重要。

 

Trading instincts are typically impacted by 3 psychological phenomena. Let’s explore these in more detail.

感知觉衍生偏见

Sensory bias is derived from the notion that we form an opinion using information that may be biased. We constantly gather data from multiple sources all around us. This action is what allows us to operate day to day.

 

它也帮助我们有所习得。然而,我们听到的每件事并不一定都是不偏不倚的事实,即使我们认为如此。如果反复接触到对某一特定话题或事件的某个观点,这通常就会变成是真的一样。在一种观点不存在任何反驳的情况下,很有可能有基于“片面”形成一个看法,并且很可能把“事实”变成偏见。

避免含糊

This concept refers to fear of the unknown. It is an action whereby we avoid something we don’t know, something unfamiliar, something that may (or may not) occur. In the world of trading, this type of behaviour may lead to a very low tolerance for risk, and thus unprofitable financial outcomes.

 

 

There are a variety of reasons that avoiding the vague comes about. Losing money may be one reason. Another lesser known reason is the fear of making money. This is because the trader may become scared that their gains will be lost, either through tax obligations or by other means, like aggressive market fluctuations.

预测的确实性

当期待感成为焦点,而不是在达到偏移的预期时,通常会发生预测的确实性。


That feeling of anticipation can become so all-consuming, almost addictive, that the trader loses sight of achieving what they anticipated. Notably, anticipation is influenced not only by objective analysis but also by the collective psychology of market participants.

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